☀️ SolarPanelEstimator.com

Solar Savings by State

Compare solar ROI, payback periods, and 25-year savings across 15 US states

📊 15 states compared📅 Updated 2025💡 Before 30% federal ITC

States Ranked by Solar Payback Period

Shorter payback = better ROI. All estimates use each state's average monthly bill, sun hours, electricity rate, and install cost. Payback is before the 30% federal ITC (which reduces payback by ~2–4 years).

Full State Comparison

StateSun Hrs/DayRate ($/kWh)Avg BillSystem SizeAnnual SavingsPayback25-Yr Savings
California5.82$0.2768$1794.8 kW$2,2506 yrs$56,400
Massachusetts3.84$0.2922$1676.4 kW$2,1009 yrs$52,400
Arizona6.57$0.1341$1758.4 kW$2,15010 yrs$54,000
Nevada6.01$0.1344$1397.2 kW$1,70011 yrs$42,500
Florida5.44$0.1425$1679.2 kW$2,10011.5 yrs$52,100
Texas5.2$0.1352$1619.6 kW$1,95012.5 yrs$49,300
Colorado5.37$0.1395$1176.8 kW$1,50012.5 yrs$37,200
New York3.79$0.2098$1337.2 kW$1,65012.5 yrs$41,800
New Jersey4.21$0.1787$1327.6 kW$1,65012.5 yrs$41,700
Maryland4.35$0.1576$1489.2 kW$1,85014 yrs$46,000
Georgia4.74$0.1309$15510.4 kW$1,90014.5 yrs$47,100
North Carolina4.71$0.1306$1409.6 kW$1,70015 yrs$43,100
Virginia4.37$0.1371$14710.4 kW$1,80015.5 yrs$45,500
Illinois3.98$0.1504$1178.4 kW$1,45016 yrs$36,700
Ohio3.73$0.1491$1279.6 kW$1,55017 yrs$39,000

Estimates use each state's avg monthly bill, sun hours (NREL), electricity rate (EIA 2024), and install cost (LBNL). Assumes south-facing roof, no shading, 400W panels. Payback is before the 30% federal ITC. Annual savings assumes 100% solar offset.

Key Takeaways from the State Comparison

🏆 Best ROI: High-Rate States

Massachusetts, California, New York, and New Jersey consistently offer the best solar ROI despite fewer sun hours — because high electricity rates ($0.18–$0.29/kWh) make every kWh of solar more valuable.

☀️ Best Sun: Southwest States

Arizona (6.57 hrs/day) and Nevada (6.01 hrs/day) lead in sun hours. Despite moderate electricity rates, large systems can generate very high production — making them excellent for EV charging, pool heating, and high-consumption homes.

💰 25-Year Savings: Significant Everywhere

Even in lower-ROI states like Illinois and Ohio, the 25-year cumulative savings from solar are substantial ($25,000–$45,000). Solar is a long-duration investment — the payback period matters, but so does the decades of free electricity that follow.

📉 After the 30% ITC: Much Better

All payback periods shown are before the 30% federal Investment Tax Credit. Applying the ITC reduces payback by roughly 2–4 years in every state, making even "average" solar markets significantly more attractive. The ITC is available through at least 2032.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which state has the best solar savings in 2025?
Massachusetts, California, and New York consistently rank among the best states for solar savings due to their high electricity rates ($0.21–$0.29/kWh). Despite fewer sun hours than Arizona or Texas, high rates mean every kWh of solar production is worth more. Massachusetts homeowners can save $2,000–$3,500/year; California homeowners often save $2,500–$4,000/year.
Which state has the shortest solar payback period?
Massachusetts and California often have the shortest payback periods (6–8 years) due to their high electricity rates. Arizona and Nevada have excellent sun hours but moderate rates — paybacks typically run 8–11 years. States with low rates like Idaho and Utah tend to have longer paybacks (12–16 years) despite good sun.
Does more sunshine always mean better solar ROI?
No — electricity rate matters more than sun hours for financial ROI. Massachusetts gets only 3.8 peak sun hours/day but pays $0.29/kWh — one of the best solar ROI states. Utah gets 5.3 hours but pays only $0.11/kWh — mediocre ROI despite excellent sun. The best combination is high sun hours AND high electricity rates, like California (5.8 hrs, $0.28/kWh).
Are these savings estimates before or after the 30% federal tax credit?
The payback periods in this comparison are before the 30% federal Investment Tax Credit (ITC). Applying the ITC reduces your net system cost by 30%, which shortens payback by roughly 2–4 years in most states. For example, a 10-year payback becomes a 7-year payback after the ITC. The ITC is available through at least 2032.
How do state solar incentives affect these comparisons?
State incentives vary significantly and are not included in this comparison (which uses only federal ITC). States with strong additional incentives include Massachusetts (SMART program, 15% state tax credit), New York (NY-Sun incentives, 25% state tax credit), New Jersey (SREC market), and Maryland (state rebates). Adding state incentives can reduce payback by 1–3 more years in the most incentive-rich states.

Disclaimer:All savings and payback estimates are based on each state's average monthly bill, NREL peak sun hours, EIA 2024 electricity rates, and LBNL Tracking the Sun install cost data. Estimates assume a south-facing roof, no shading, 400W panels, and 0.80 system efficiency. Payback periods are before the 30% federal ITC. Actual results vary by specific location, roof, utility rate structure, and available incentives. Not financial advice.